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Newest trades by our verified geopolitical forecasters, in markets that haven't resolved yet. When several sharps pile into the same side, that's the signal.

2h agoDumplingBMFBUY No @56¢$560Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

2h agoDumplingBMFSELL Yes @99¢$52,355Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

3h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @98¢$4,837Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

4h agoTalophexBUY No @88¢$1,540Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

4h agogdyhvBUY No @100¢$975Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

4h agogdyhvBUY No @100¢$2,016Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

5h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$1,007Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

6h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$9,980Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

6h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$582Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

6h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$532Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

6h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$583Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

6h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$585Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

6h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$504Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

6h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$7,873Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

7h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$1,953Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

7h agoDumplingBMFBUY Yes @85¢$527Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

8h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$546Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

8h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$522Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

8h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$540Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

8h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$5,982Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

8h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$532Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

8h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$575Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

8h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$14,406Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

8h agoalwaysOnBUY No @91¢$849Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

8h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$1,787Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

9h agoMalganisBUY No @85¢$764Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

9h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$4,323Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

9h agoarchaicBUY No @92¢$919Trump out as President before 2027?

10h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$532Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

10h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$73,087Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

10h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$505Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

10h agoTenebrus7BUY No @70¢$773US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

11h agoTenebrus7BUY No @97¢$1,944Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

11h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @98¢$14,549Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

11h agoTalophexBUY No @98¢$872Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

11h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$10,924Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?

11h agoCompulsiveGamblerBUY No @96¢$504Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?

12h agoSardinianshepherdBUY No @61¢$1,217US strike on Cuba by December 31?

12h agoGollumGekkoSELL Yes @33¢$506US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

12h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @97¢$6,052Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

12h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$4,435Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

12h agoTenebrus7SELL No @38¢$589US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

12h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$19,790Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

12h agoTrustinghorseBUY No @98¢$2,738Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

12h agoNaropolySELL No @82¢$594US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

13h agoNaropolyBUY No @82¢$805US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

13h agoGollumGekkoBUY No @93¢$4,046Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

14h agononkenny90SELL No @71¢$626US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

14h agononkenny90SELL No @71¢$1,225US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

14h agononkenny90SELL No @79¢$1,764US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

14h agoh038596027355SELL No @97¢$562Will Venezuela become 51st state?

14h agoGollumGekkoSELL No @38¢$563US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

15h agoMalganisSELL No @100¢$679Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

16h agoCompulsiveGamblerSELL No @92¢$742Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

17h agoGollumGekkoSELL No @87¢$768Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

17h agoGollumGekkoSELL No @86¢$647Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

18h agocambridgeisaacBUY Yes @62¢$538US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

18h agokekkoneSELL Yes @62¢$538US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

19h agocambridgeisaacBUY No @85¢$765Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

19h agoTenebrus7BUY No @38¢$1,136US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

19h agokekkoneBUY Yes @61¢$1,139US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

19h agoTenebrus7BUY Yes @60¢$900US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

19h agoGollumGekkoSELL No @98¢$554US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

21h agononkenny90BUY No @98¢$793US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

21h agononkenny90BUY No @92¢$1,543Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

21h agononkenny90BUY No @99¢$661US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

21h agononkenny90BUY No @98¢$649US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

23h agoTenebrus7BUY Yes @3¢$600US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

23h agoNaropolyBUY No @99¢$528Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

1d agoTenebrus7BUY No @60¢$600US strike on Cuba by December 31?

1d agoGollumGekkoSELL No @60¢$1,243US strike on Cuba by December 31?

1d agoalwaysOnBUY No @90¢$2,250Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

1d agoalwaysOnBUY No @77¢$1,540US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

1d agoGollumGekkoSELL No @92¢$939Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

1d agoarchaicSELL No @95¢$1,270Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

1d agoGollumGekkoSELL No @92¢$11,268Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

1d agoTenebrus7BUY No @83¢$830Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

1d agoGollumGekkoSELL No @98¢$830US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

1d agoQMG-CORESELL No @94¢$1,135Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

1d agoGollumGekkoSELL No @93¢$1,125Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

1d agoRr55BUY No @86¢$860Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

1d agoCompulsiveGamblerSELL No @98¢$1,333Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?

1d agoCompulsiveGamblerSELL No @98¢$975Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?

1d agoTalophexSELL No @92¢$1,380Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

1d agononkenny90BUY No @89¢$593Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

1d agononkenny90BUY No @96¢$739Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?

1d agoSomeBodyOnceToldMeBUY No @100¢$732Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

1d agoGollumGekkoBUY No @52¢$520US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

1d agoTenebrus7BUY No @92¢$1,840Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

1d agoMalganisSELL No @60¢$542US strike on Cuba by December 31?

1d agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$1,248Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

1d agoscottiliciousBUY No @99¢$899Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

1d agoscottiliciousBUY No @99¢$989Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

1d agoscottiliciousBUY No @99¢$692Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

1d agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$998Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

1d agoscottiliciousBUY No @99¢$4,028Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

1d agoarchaicSELL No @93¢$640Trump out as President before 2027?

1d agoscottiliciousBUY No @99¢$4,285Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

1d agoTenebrus7BUY Yes @69¢$690US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

1d agoscottiliciousBUY No @98¢$6,129Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

1d agoSirHarryOakesBUY No @85¢$2,000Iran leadership change by December 31?

1d agoSirHarryOakesBUY No @92¢$3,000Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

1d agoSirHarryOakesBUY No @92¢$2,000Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

1d agoGollumGekkoSELL No @92¢$558Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

1d agoTenebrus7BUY No @53¢$530US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

1d agoTenebrus7BUY No @61¢$610US strike on Cuba by December 31?

1d agoAllByMyseIfSELL No @93¢$8,229Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

1d agoarchaicSELL No @88¢$1,267Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

1d agononkenny90BUY No @91¢$1,718Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

1d agoKrackenSrusterBUY No @39¢$2,025US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

1d agoTenebrus7BUY Yes @61¢$1,830US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

1d agoGollumGekkoSELL No @91¢$4,550Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

1d agoTalophexBUY No @97¢$970Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

1d agoTenebrus7BUY Yes @61¢$938US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

1d agoGollumGekkoBUY No @90¢$3,517Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

1d agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$9,080Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

1d agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$1,996Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

1d agoAllByMyseIfSELL No @93¢$11,625Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

1d agoAllByMyseIfSELL No @93¢$532Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

1d agoAllByMyseIfSELL No @93¢$10,631Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

1d agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$1,996Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

1d agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$998Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

1d agoTenebrus7BUY No @90¢$1,080Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

1d agononkenny90BUY No @90¢$810Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

1d agononkenny90BUY No @90¢$1,709Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

1d agononkenny90BUY No @90¢$1,710Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

1d agoKrackenSrusterBUY No @90¢$1,537Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

1d agoTenebrus7BUY No @96¢$1,440 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

1d agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$3,503Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

1d agoTrustinghorseBUY No @100¢$47,967Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

1d agoHow.Dare.YouBUY No @75¢$1,110Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

1d agoQMG-COREBUY No @98¢$981US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

1d agoHow.Dare.YouBUY No @75¢$810Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

1d agoGollumGekkoSELL Yes @81¢$8,180Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

1d agoQMG-COREBUY No @98¢$984US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

1d agoTenebrus7BUY No @77¢$534Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

1d agoGollumGekkoSELL No @64¢$1,600US strike on Cuba by December 31?

1d agoAllByMyseIfSELL No @93¢$7,000Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

1d agoTenebrus7BUY No @92¢$1,185US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

1d agoQMG-COREBUY No @90¢$606Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

1d agoParz1vaIBUY No @81¢$11,340US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

1d agoGollumGekkoBUY No @92¢$1,839US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

1d agoTenebrus7BUY No @83¢$1,790Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

2d agoTenebrus7BUY Yes @82¢$820Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

2d agoParz1vaISELL Yes @14¢$775Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

2d agoNaropolyBUY No @99¢$4,940Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

2d agoGollumGekkoBUY No @90¢$900US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?